In March 1999, the Integral Bottom Subsidence Study Wadden Sea (IBW) was published. It is a multi-volume inquiry report on the possible effects of natural gas exploitation in the Wadden region on the geomorphology, the benthic animals, the salt marshes and the waders. The study was commissioned by the NAM.
Extensive model calculations in the IBW predicted a maximum bottom subsidence due to natural gas exploitation of 28 centimetres in the period till 2050. One expected this total subsidence to be partially compensated by the supply of silt and sand from the North Sea, estimated at around 20 centimeters in this same period of time, so the net bottom subsidence would end up being 6 to 8 centimeters. The number of waders would temporarily decrease somewhat due to the subsidence. Some, also temporary, shifts would take place among the bottom fauna, favourable to the animal species that are adapted to sandbanks which are not exposed as often. No effects would be measured in the salt marshes, according to the IBW, with the exception of those along the coast of Groningen. The loss of area could be counteracted with extra measures to quicken the deposition.
The IBW was strongly criticised by the environmental movement. They said that the conclusions were influenced by the commissioning organization. Furthermore, they pointed out the uncertainties in the predictions. The changeable prognoses around the bottom subsidence on Ameland clearly indicated that the geological models cannot always faithfully predict what happens in reality.